We’re almost halfway through the NFL offseason, and it sure has been dramatic. The Denver Broncos have lured Sean Payton out of retirement, Aaron Rodgers is now a Jet, and all 32 teams have made major additions to the 2023 NFL Draft.
Now’s a good time to reset and review some NFL winning totals, seeing how they’ve evolved since the close of the draft. Here are the Over/Under winning totals for each NFL team, compared to what they were on March 27.
All odds come courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook
We didn’t see the kind of line movement some expected post-design. The Falcons went from 7.5 to an even 8 wins, while the Lions went from 9 to 9.5. It’s kind of wild to think about, but Detroit is the favorite to win the NFC North with +155.
The big mover of the past month was the Ravens, who went from 8.5 to 9.5. This was most likely not because of the design, but because of Lamar Jackson’s extension. Hours before the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft, Jackson agreed to a five-year, $260 million deal with Baltimore, including $185 million guaranteed. Jackson’s new $52 million AAV makes him the highest-paid player in NFL history.
The Ravens hired a new offensive coordinator in Todd Monken this offseason, Jackson is back in the group and Baltimore added wide receivers Odell Beckham Jr. in free agency and Zay Flowers in the draft. The AFC North will be very interesting in 2023.
While there wasn’t much movement in the totals, the juice did see some changes; for example, the Jets’ Over went from -120 to -140 after the Rodgers deal – something that was expected in March but has not yet been finalized. And the Vikings’ Over went -115 to -160 after Rodgers left the division and the team added Jordan Addison to Justin Jefferson in the first round. Meanwhile, the Rams’ Under, which was +105, now sits at -155.