Wrigley Field will host an afternoon battle between National League foes on Friday. The Chicago Cubs welcome the Miami Marlins to town for the opener of a three-game set. Chicago is 15-16 this season and aims to stop a three-game losing streak. Miami is 16-16 and also looking to stop the bleeding after three consecutive losses. Justin Steele (4-0, 1.49 ERA) is scheduled to take the mound for Chicago, while Edward Cabrera (2-2, 4.67 ERA) starts for Miami.
The first pitch is at 2:20 PM ET in Chicago. Caesars Sportsbook lists Chicago as a -160 favorite on the moneyline, while the over/under, or the total number of runs Vegas thinks it will score, is 9.5 in the latest Marlins vs. Cubs odds. Before you Marlins vs. Cubs picks, you should check out the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.
The SportsLine projection model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB moneyline picks (+357) over the past two seasons, and it’s on a 28-22 run stretching back to the end of last season. Anyone who has followed it has seen profitable returns.
Now the model has set its sights on Marlins vs. Cubs and his picks and MLB predictions recorded. You can now go to SportsLine to see the model choices. Now, here are several MLB bets and trends for Marlins vs. Cubs:
- Marlins vs. Cubs money line: Cubs -160, Marlins +135
- Marlins vs. Cubs over/under: 9.5 points
- Marlins vs. Cubs running line: Cubs -1.5
- MIA: The Marlins are 6-7 in road games
- CHC: The Cubs are 8-8 in home games
- Marlins vs. Cubs picks: See picks on SportsLine
Recommended game | Chicago Cubs v Miami Marlins
Why you should support the Marlins
The Marlins are attacked by standout infielder Luis Arraez. The 26-year-old won the AL batting title in 2022 while earning an All-Star selection, and Arraez is off to a flying start with his new team. He has a .424/.482/.535 slash in 112 at bats and gets on base regularly to power up Miami’s offense.
The Marlins also have tremendous team speed leading to 28 stolen bases, and 25-year-old right-hander Edward Cabrera takes the ball up the mound. He has a combined ERA of 3.47 over the past two seasons, striking out 10.1 per nine innings in 20 starts. Cabrera also has a stellar 3.48 ERA on all starts outside of Miami, and he’s had career success against Chicago, with a 3.00 ERA as the Cubs countered. See which team to choose here.
Why you should support the Cubs
Chicago has the superior offense in this game and is near the top of the National League in several categories so far in 2023. Plus, the Cubs have the advantage of hosting this game at Wrigley Field, and Chicago has an early Cy Young contender on the mound in Justin Steele. He leads the NL with an 1.49 ERA this season and has allowed two earned runs or less in every start of 2023. He has a 0.52 ERA in three home starts this season, and Steele has a 2.78 ERA over the last two seasons combined.
Steele has also had success in his career (1.69 ERA) against Miami and has a sparkling 0.96 WHIP in 36.1 innings this season. In addition to his own bonafides, Steele faces a struggling Marlins offense. Miami is last in the National League with 108 runs scored and an ugly .309 on-base percentage. The Marlins are also at the bottom of the league with only 28 home runs. See which team to choose here.
How Marlins vs. make Cubs picks
SportsLine’s model leans down on the run total and it says one side of the moneyline has all the value. You can only get the model’s MLB picks from SportsLine.
So who wins Marlins vs. Cubs? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of Marlins vs. Cubs you should jump Friday, all of the model that crushed his MLB picks, and find out.