Lakers vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Line, Time: 2023 NBA Playoff Picks, Game 3 Bets by Model on 71-37 Run

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By Webdesk


The Memphis Grizzlies and Los Angeles Lakers continued their first-round streak in the 2023 NBA playoffs on Saturday night. The matchup caps off a quadruple header of NBA action, with Game 3 at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles. The best-of-seven series is tied at 1-1 after Memphis won Game 2 at home by a margin of 103-93. Yes Morant (hand) is listed as questionable for the Grizzlies.

Tipoff is in Los Angeles at 10 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Los Angeles as the favorite with 4.5 points, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas believes to score, is 221.5 in the latest Lakers vs. Grizzly odds. Before you Grizzlies vs. Lakers picks, be sure to check out NBA playoff predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has generated more than $10,000 in winnings for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four seasons. The model enters the second week of the 2023 NBA playoffs with a stunning 71-37 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, netting nearly $3,000. Anyone who follows it has seen huge returns.

Now the model has set its sights on Lakers vs. Grizzlies and its picks and NBA playoff predictions captured. You can now go to SportsLine to see the model choices. Here are various NBA odds and bets for Grizzlies vs. Lakers:

  • Lakers vs. Grizzlies spread: Lakers -4.5
  • Lakers vs. Grizzlies over/under: 221.5 points
  • Lakers vs. Grizzlies moneyline: Lakers -190, Grizzlies +158
  • LAL: The Lakers are 21-18-3 against the spread in home games
  • MEM: The Grizzlies are 14-25-2 against the spread in road games
  • Lakers vs. Grizzlies picks: See picks on SportsLine

Recommended game | Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies

Why the Grizzlies can cover

Memphis is great on the defensive side of the floor. The Grizzlies are led by Defensive Player of the Year Jaren Jackson Jr., who topped the NBA charts this season with an average of 3.0 blocked shots per game. Memphis also held Los Angeles to just 97.9 points per 100 possessions in Game 2, with the Lakers posting an ugly shot of 49.3% in the game. The Grizzlies ranked No. 3 in the NBA in defensive rating (110.7) during the regular season, and Memphis led the league in field goal percentage allowed (45.3%).

Memphis also ranked in the top three in the league in 2 points allowed (52.1%), steals (8.3 per game), and blocked shots (5.8 per game), with a top six in turnover (15.1 per game) and points allowed in the paint (47.5 per game). From there, Los Angeles has major problems from outside the 3-point arc, with only 34.6% of long-range attempts in 2022-23. See which way to go back at SportsLine.

Why the Grizzlies can cover

The Lakers are much healthier and also play at home. While Memphis misses key pieces with added roster uncertainty, Los Angeles is led by LeBron James, Anthony Davis and a resurgent Rui Hachimura in this series. James averages 24.5 points and 11.5 rebounds per game while shooting 51% from the field against Memphis. Davis is an established two-way power and Hachimura is blazing hot through two games, shooting 69% from the field and averaging 24.5 points per game.

The Lakers also led the NBA in free throw attempts (26.6 per game) in the regular season, and Los Angeles takes more than 30% of missed shots on the offensive glass in the series. From there, the Lakers return home, where they have a +3.4 net score for the season, and Los Angeles was 9-4 at home after the All-Star break. With the Lakers also posting the top six in quick break points (16.7 per game) and paint points (54.5 per game) during the regular season, they are hard to stop. See which way to go back at SportsLine.

How Grizzlies vs. Lakers picks

SportsLine’s model leans over the point total and projects the teams to combine for 225 points. The model also says that one side of the spread hits in more than 50% of simulations. You can see the model choices on SportsLine.

So who will win Lakers vs. Grizzlies? And which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the model that’s 71-37 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.





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