A day after their scheduled home opener was postponed due to rain, the New York Mets host the Miami Marlins on Friday afternoon. It’s been a slow start for the Mets, who are 3-4 and have already dug themselves into a three-game gap in the NL East. Miami holds the same record. Tylor Megill (1-0, 3.60 ERA) is on the mound for New York, while Miami will send Edward Cabrera (0-0, 4.50 ERA) to the mound in this right-hander battle.
Play starts at 1:10 PM ET from Citi Field in Queens, NY New York is the -195 favorite (risk $195 to win $100) on the moneyline in the latest Mets vs. Marlins odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 7.5. Before deciding between Marlins and Mets, check out the latest MLB predictions and SportsLine projection model betting advice.
The SportsLine projection model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB moneyline picks (+357) in the past two seasons, and it finished the 2022 MLB season on a 20-14 roll. Anyone who has followed it has seen profitable returns.
Now the model has dialed in on Mets vs. Marlins and his predictions and best bets revealed. You can visit SportsLine now to check out the model’s MLB picks. Here are the MLB odds and betting trends for Marlins vs. Mets:
- Mets vs. Marlins moneyline: Mets -195, Marlins +162
- Mets vs. Marlins over/under: 7.5 runs
- Mets vs. Marlins running line: New York -1.5 (+118)
- NYM: Have returned -146 on the moneyline this season
- MIA: Returned -140 on the moneyline this season
- Mets vs. Marlins picks: See picks on SportsLine
Recommended game | New York Mets vs Miami Marlins
Why you should support the Mets
New York defeated Miami three times in a four-game series to open the season, with each of those wins coming by multiple runs. Megill allowed two runs in five innings last Saturday against the Marlins, giving him confidence heading into another meeting with Miami. First baseman Pete Alonso struggles with consistency at the plate, but he has already hit three home runs and batted in six runs for New York.
Veteran right fielder Starling Marte hits .280 through his first 25 at-bats, while second baseman Jeff McNeil is tied for the team lead with seven hits. Shortstop Francisco Lindor had three hits in four at bats against Milwaukee on Wednesday to drive in two runs. The Mets are 12-5 in their last 17 home games against Miami and have won six of their last seven games against NL East opponents.
Why you should support the Marlins
The Mets have been going the wrong way since their opening series against Miami, being swept by Milwaukee earlier this week. They were beaten 19-0 in the first two games before losing a heartthrob 7-6 on Wednesday, leaving them in a disappointing spot heading into their home opener. New York had a 6-4 lead in the fifth inning before Milwaukee was able to tie the game and eventually win on a walk-off home run.
Megill is only 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA in three games (two starts) against Miami in his career. The Marlins have won five of their last seven road games, racking up back-to-back victories against Minnesota to clinch a series win earlier in the week. Second baseman Luis Arraez hits .458 through his first 24 at-bats, 9 of 16 in the first four games against the Mets.
How Marlins vs. Mets choices
SportsLine’s model leans forward on the number of runs, as the simulations have the teams combine for 8.3 runs. It also says that one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the choice of model from SportsLine.
So who wins Mets vs. Marlins? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the moneyline to jump on, all from the advanced model that ended on a roll last season, and find out.