The San Diego Padres (37-43) will look to break a four-game losing streak and avoid a series sweep when they meet the Pittsburgh Pirates (37-42) on Thursday afternoon. San Diego lost the last two games of its series against Washington before dropping the first two games of this three-game set. Pittsburgh had lost 12 of its 13 games before winning its first two games of this series by a combined score of 16-5.
The first roll is scheduled for 12:35 a.m. ET. San Diego is listed at -205 on the moneyline (risk $205 to win $100) in the last Pirates vs. Padres odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The over/under for the total number of points scored is 8.5. Before you play a Padres vs. Pirates pick, you should check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine projection model.
The SportsLine projection model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB moneyline picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It opened the 2023 MLB season with a 36-28 roll on all top-rated MLB picks, including a 9-2 mark on top-rated run-line picks (+450). Anyone who has followed it has seen profitable returns.
Now the model has set its sights on Padres vs. Pirates and his picks and MLB predictions captured. You can now go to SportsLine to see the model choices. Here are several MLB bets and trends for Pirates vs. Padres:
- Moneyline Padres vs. Pirates: Padres -205, Pirates +175
- Padres vs. Pirates running line: Padres -1.5 (-115)
- Padres vs. Pirates over/under: 8.5 points
- SD: Padres have passed in seven of their last ten games in Pittsburgh
- PIT: Pirates is 4-1 in their last five games against the opponents of NL West
- Padres vs. Pirates Picks: See Picks on SportsLine
Recommended game | Pittsburgh Pirates v San Diego Padres
Why you should support the Pirates
Pittsburgh turned things around this week, winning three of its last four games to get back into contention in the NL Central. The Pirates defeated the Padres 16-5 in the first two games of this series, fueled by a trio of rookies who all made their big league-debut in the past 10 days. Henry Davis, Nick Gonzales and Jared Triolo went a combined 4 of 10 at the plate on Wednesday, driving in two runs and scoring three more.
Rookie pitcher Luis Ortiz will be on the mound for Pittsburgh after perhaps the best start of his career. He allowed one run in eight strong innings against Miami last Friday, putting his team on a ten-game slip. San Diego has lost four games in a row and seven of its last nine, making the Padres an unappealing team to come back from with few chances. See which team you should support here.
Why you should support the Padres
As the Pittsburgh rookies showed their lives on Wednesday, it’s hard to depict consistency from the young trio. They are forced into action as the Pirates deal with several key injuries, including leading hitters Ke’Bryan Hayes and Bryan Reynolds, who are both sidelined due to back problems. The Pirates have also been playing without Oneil Cruz since the beginning of April, so they have a tight line-up on Thursday.
San Diego’s Joe Musgrove will be on the mound in this game, making it the perfect time for the Padres to break out of their losing slip. The former Pittsburgh starter is 6-2 with a 3.88 ERA this season, winning three consecutive starts. He has allowed six runs combined in his last 19 innings, giving him momentum as he prepares for an injury-ridden lineup. See which team you should support here.
How Pirates vs. Make Padres choices
SportsLine’s model leans over the total, expecting 8.9 combined runs. It also says that one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model’s MLB picks from SportsLine.
So who wins Padres vs. Pirates, and which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side to jump on, all of the model that has gone 36-28 on its top-rated MLB picks, and find out.