Below is a comprehensive snapshot of the state of play in the Western Conference playoffs and play-in races starting Friday. This post will be updated daily for the rest of the regular season or until all seeds have sounded.
Reminder about how the warm-up tournament works: No. 7 plays No. 8 and No. 9 plays No. 10. The winner of the 7-8 game gets the No. 7 seed, while the loser plays the winner of the 9-10 game for the No. 8 seed. seed.
READ: Photo from the Eastern Conference playoffs
REMARK: Our SportsLine model, developed by predictive data engineer Stephen Oh, simulates the entire season 10,000 times to produce the most unbiased and accurate projections imaginable.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
- Grabs top-three seed
- Projected Seed: 1
- Current first round match: To be determined
- Tiebreak against Memphis: Nuggets have sounded
- Tiebreak against Sacramento: Season series tied 1-1 with one to play
- Tiebreak against Phoenix: Nuggets lead season series 2-0 with two to play
- Grabs top-three seed
- Projected Seed: 2
- Current first round match: vs. Pelicans-Timberwolves play-in winner
- Tiebreak against Denver: Nuggets have sounded
- Tiebreak against Sacramento: Kings currently owns via conference record
- Tiebreak against Phoenix: Grizzlies own through division leader
- Clinched top-four seed
- Projected Seed: 3
- Current first round match: against warriors
- Tiebreak against Denver: Draw 1-1 with one more to play
- Tiebreak against Memphis: Kings currently own via conference win percentage
- Tiebreak against Phoenix: Kings possess through division leader
- Tiebreak against Golden State: Warriors lead 2-1 with one to play
- Projected seed: 4
- Current first round match: against clippers
- Tiebreak against Memphis: Grizzlies own through division leader
- Tiebreak against Sacramento: Kings possess through division leader
- Tiebreak against Golden State: Suns joined
- Tiebreak vs Timberwolves: Suns joined
- Tiebreak against Dallas: Suns currently owns the conference win percentage
- tiebreaker vs. clippers: Suns lead 2-1 with one to play
5. Los Angeles Clippers (41-36)
- Projected Seed: 6
- Current first round match: at Zonnen
- Tiebreak against Phoenix: Suns lead 2-1 with one to play
- Tiebreak against Golden State: Clippers lead by division win percentage
- Tiebreak vs Timberwolves: Wolves locked up
- Tiebreak against Dallas: Mavericks currently holds via conference record
- Tiebreak against New Orleans: Pelicans lead 1-0 with two to play
- Tiebreak against Utah: Jazz took
- tiebreak vs. Lakers: Clippers won prizes
6. Golden State Warriors (40-37)
- Projected seed: 5
- Current first round match: at Kings
- Tiebreak against Phoenix: The suns have sounded
- Tiebreak vs Timberwolves: Wolves are currently leading via conference win rate
- Tiebreak against Dallas: Warriors have sounded
- tiebreaker vs. clippers: Clippers lead by division win percentage
- Tiebreak vs Thunder: Warriors lead 2-1 with one to play
- tiebreak vs. Lakers: Lakers have sounded
- Tiebreak against New Orleans: Warriors lead via conference win percentage
- Tiebreak against Utah: Warriors have sounded
PLAY-IN TOURNAMENT
7. New Orleans Pelicans (39-38)
- Projected Seed: 9
- Current first round match: against Timberwolves (play-in)
- Tiebreak against Golden State: Warriors lead via conference win percentage
- Tiebreak vs Timberwolves: Draw 1-1 with one more to play
- Tiebreak against Dallas: Mavericks lead 2-1 with one to play
- Tiebreak against Utah: Jazz took
- tiebreak vs. Lakers: Lakers have sounded
- Tiebreak vs OKC: Pelicans locked up
- Tiebreak against Portland: Pelicans locked up
8.Minnesota Timberwolves (39-38)
- Projected Seed: 7
- Current first round match: at Pelicans (playing in)
- Tiebreak against Phoenix: Suns joined
- Tiebreak against Golden State: Wolves are currently leading via conference win rate
- Tiebreak against Dallas: Wolves locked up
- tiebreaker vs. clippers: Wolves locked up
- Tiebreak against New Orleans: Draw 1-1 with one more to play
- Tiebreak against Utah: Wolves currently hold a division record
- tiebreak vs. Lakers: Wolves locked up
9.Los Angeles Lakers (38-38)
- Projected Seed: 8
- Current first round match: versus Thunder (play-in)
- tiebreaker vs. clippers: Clippers won prizes
- Tiebreak against warriors: Lakers have sounded
- Tiebreak vs Timberwolves: Wolves locked up
- Tiebreak against New Orleans: Lakers have sounded
- Tiebreak against Utah: Jazz led 2-0 with two to play
- Tiebreak vs OKC: Lakers have sounded
- Tiebreak against Portland: Blazers currently own via conference winning percentage
- Projected seed: 10
- Current first round match: at Lakers (warming up)
- Tiebreak against warriors: Golden State leads 2-1 with one more to play
- Tiebreak against Dallas: OKC took
- Tiebreak against New Orleans: Pelicans locked up
- Tiebreak against Utah: OKC leads 2-1 with one more to play
- tiebreak vs. Lakers: Lakers have sounded
- Tiebreak against Portland: OKC took
OUTSIDE LOOKING IN
11.Dallas Mavericks (37-40)
- Projected seed: Lottery
- Tiebreaker against Oklahoma City: OKC took
- Tiebreak against Phoenix: Suns owns the conference win rate
- Tiebreak against Golden State: Warriors have sounded
- Tiebreak vs Timberwolves: Wolves locked up
- tiebreaker vs. clippers: Dallas currently holds via conference record
- Tiebreak against New Orleans: Dallas leads 2-1 with one to play
- Tiebreak against Utah: Dallas leads 2-1 with one to play
- tiebreak vs. Lakers: Mavericks has sounded
12.Utah Jazz (36-40)
- Projected seed: Lottery
- Tiebreak against New Orleans: Jazz took
- tiebreak vs. Lakers: Jazz led 2-0 with two to play
- Tiebreak vs OKC: Thunder led 2-1 with one to play
- Tiebreak against Portland: Blazers lead 2-1 with one to play
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